Oh no, not again. When I was young the buzz was about the coming Ice Age - and it was common sense. Since 90,000 out of every 100,000 years of human history have been Ice Ages and it's been 12,000 years since the last one, logically we have been overdue.
But simple physics says that when you add more people and more pollution to a finite space things will get warmer so warming is a lot more likely than cooling.
Not so, says a writer in the Daily Telegraph, who instead sides with meteorologist Piers Corbyn because Corbyn said it would not be a mild winter, contrary to the Met Office, which this decade began fashionably billing itself as Met Office: Weather and climate change.
It's certainly not a mild winter in London so far, though you'd think after a few millenia Brits would learn how to deal with snow. Corbyn is an astrophysicist by education, like James Hansen in the US, and claims to be accurate in his predictions 85% of the time. Farmers, obviously, take accuracy over academics any day of the week so they are willing to suspend disbelief over effects in the future if it can save crops this year.
How does he beat the Met Office? Using the Sun, he says. He sees what the Sun is doing now and then the last time it did something similar and makes a forecast. Does it work? In a limited sense, sure, I buy the Farmer's Almanac every year out of nostalgia and it is fairly accurate - as long as climate effects stay linear, it will continue to be.
Oppressed Underdogs will also get popularity in the media, that is how newspapers get sold, but whether or not Corbyn is simply lucky is harder to determine than whether or not we will have an early spring.
For the record I concur fully with Christopher Monckton and his conclusions.
3. Whatever may have seemed plausible 10 years ago Global Warming is over and there is no evidence that CO2 ever was, is or will be a driver of world temperatures or Climate Change - indeed evidence is the relationship is more the other way around:-
a) Temperatures drive CO2 levels in a number of circumstances (eg when the world exits ice-ages). CO2 has no observed net driving effect on temperatures. This fact is established from thousands of years of data which the 'Global Warmers' refuse to properly consider.
b) World temperatures have been generally declining for about 10 years while CO2 is rising rapidly.
c) Furthermore the period from the end of the last ice age 10,000 years ago to about 1,000 years ago was warmer than present (indeed Greenland is so named because it was warmer in Viking times), there was LESS ice in the Arctic and there was notably LESS CO2 than now.
The UN Climate Committee - the IPCC - is deliberately ignoring or covering-up these facts which show in official data.
However rather than investigating the accountability of the UN and our elected representatives the BBC seems to want independent scientists and the public to be accountable to the UN and governments. See links below for more information and the letter from 13 world scientists and environmentalists to Ban-Ki moon UN Secretary General and Tim Yeo MP
4. Attempts to prove the CO2 effect 'right' by challenging an incomplete version of one solar theory are doubly dishonest because:
a) One theory being inadequate does not prove CO2 has any effect. The CO2 theory already lies in tatters - refuted by data evidence. No amount of enraged shooting at others can revive it.
b) The attacks on what the Global Warmers deem as 'solar theory' are the product of disgraceful dishonesty which marks the integrity of the scientific establishment at its lowest level since the Papal Inquisition.
The main periodical solar activity effect - the largest observed periodicity present in world temperature data - is the 22 year cycle (driven by sun-earth magnetic connectivity). Hence for about half the time, the 11 year cycle of solar activity of particles, sunspots and radiation will move with temperature and half the time move against it. This is well known to solar and climate scientists. All the pseudo-scientists have done is essentially choose time spans where the two move in opposite directions and ignore demonstrated correlations on longer time spans. Those who do this are either unbelievably ignorant of their own subject or deliberately deceptive. BBC web 'information' on the matter refuses to publish the truth despite requests and in this programme avoids interviewing scientists in Britain or overseas who research, understand and apply sun-earth magnetic and particle effects in provably skilled weather and climate forecasting***. CO2 based climate and seasonal weather forecasts on the other hand show no skill, have been abysmally incorrect for a decade and have got worse in the last few years.
5. I challenge - and there are other scientists who can also challenge - the 'Climate Wars' programme producer to a public televised debate with himself or any scientist they want to put forward.
If they had answers to the many refutations of their theory then the UN Secretary General or its Climate Committee (the IPCC) or the UK Parliament Environment Audit Committee (chair Tim Yeo MP* ) would respond to letters but they have all failed to answer simple requests for evidence to support their theory and policies under which they expect the world to be taxed and go further into food price crisis and recession. The letter of 14th July from 13 scientists and environmentalists across the world to Ban-Ki moon Secretary general of the UN has still not even been acknowledged
WeatherAction long-range forecasts are produced using Piers Corbyn's Solar Lunar Action Technique (which now supersedes his Solar Weather Technique) which is the most advanced and reliable long-range forecasting system in the world.
The technique uses predictable aspects of solar activity - particle and magnetic effects from the Sun - and lunar modulations as the basis for forecasting weather many months and even years in advance. The essence of the technique is explained in scientific presentations (see News Archive).
Forecast information is available in five categories (see also Purchase Forecasts button)
- Britain & Ireland detailed monthly and 15 to 45day ahead forecasts in 8 weather periods each month - via web.
- European detailed forecasts including European detailed pressure scenario development forecasts through 8 weather periods each month - via web.
- Extreme events forecasts for certain weather developments in each month around the World including USA, Atlantic, East & West Pacific and Indian Ocean Tropical storms and Australasia; with separate extreme events only for Europe - via web.
- Detailed Forecasts for 12 months or longer ahead (ie beyond the range via on-line web Purchase) are available for Britain and Ireland and for world extreme events. Detailed forecasts many months ahead for other countries are also producable - Contact WeatherAction Office.
- Consultancy - bespoke / development of forecasts for other countries.
- Climate Forecasting - See News archive (Contact WeatherAction Office)
WeatherAction forecasts are the only long-range forecasts with proven skill verified by independent academic statisticians with their findings published in scientific peer-reviewed literature, consistent winnings on weather bets over 12 years and independently audited reports from insurance industry monitors of world-wide extreme events (see Forecast Accuracy).
The web-based forecasts can be purchased on-line via the 'Buy Forecasts' tab. 30 day forecasts for each month are issued near the end of each preceeding month and are available from then through the month. 45day ahead forecasts are available from the mid of each preceding month.
WeatherAction also forecasts for certain extreme events around the world are made public in summary form each month at the WeatherAction Press conference held towards the end of each preceding month. The Audited results of WeatherAction extreme events forecasts show high skill - 85% success rate for the world and over 90% for USA on land - see reports under Forecast Accuracy button. The May 2009 Forecasts bulletin page 4 gives overall results estimates (via News archive, also see WANews2009 No 28) which under the final audit reports turn out as 85% level (63/74) for the world and over 90% (8.5/9) for N America land events.
Extreme events for 2010 are reported via News & events tab. See for example WANews210No19 for dramatic prediction of floods in USA & Azerbajan; or WAnews2010no31 - for successful prediction of jet stream shifts which ended the West Russian heatwave (also predicted by Piers Corbyn's Solar Lunar Action Technique) and ended the of Superflood deluges in Pakistan.
Posts: 42940 | From: , | Registered: Jan 2010
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Cool It: The Skeptical Environmentalist's Guide to Global Warming by Bjørn Lomborg (Sep 4, 2007)
Global warming is real. But climate activist Bjorn Lomborg says it’s not so bad and Al Gore is an inconvenient truth-stretcher. Yes, we need to do something about it--but will manufacturing millions of compact fluorescent bulbs really help? How about trashing our conventional cars in favor of Priuses? Not really. Lomborg’s controversial perspective is featured in a new documentary, Cool It, by award-winning filmmaker Ondi Timoner. The film makes the point that fear of global catastrophe has distorted the climate change debate and driven political leaders into an environmental frenzy. As a result, says Lomborg, our policies are out of whack.
-------------------- Note: I am not an "Egyptologist" as claimed by some still bitter, defeated, trolls creating fake profiles and posts elsewhere. Hapless losers, you still fail. My output of hard data debunking racist nonsense has actually INCREASED since you began.. Posts: 5905 | From: The Hammer | Registered: Aug 2008
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posted
...still more of that ''yes it is'', ''no it ain't'' and ''well you left this out to suit your position.'' Just think these guys look at this data everyday and still can manage to rebutt each other. Well it does depend on who you want to believe I'm sure, even if one knew how to interpet the data.
Posts: 2118 | From: midwest, USA | Registered: Aug 2007
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