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War with North Korea soon?
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[QUOTE]Originally posted by Narmerthoth: [QB] [QUOTE]Originally posted by the lioness,: [qb] http://www.nationalreview.com/article/449280/north-korea-icbm-test-crosses-red-line-nuclear-crisis The Rubicon Is Crossed in North Korea (excerpt) The latest North Korean missile is menacing not just because of its 4,000-mile range, but because it is road-mobile. And the transporter comes from China. In the calculus of nuclear deterrence, [b]mobility guarantees inviolability. (The enemy cannot find, and therefore cannot pre-empt, a mobile missile.) [/b]It’s a huge step forward for Pyongyang. Supplied by Beijing. How many times must we be taught that Beijing does not share our view of denuclearizing North Korea? It prefers a divided peninsula, i.e., sustaining its client state as a guarantee against a unified Korea (possibly nuclear) allied with the West and sitting on its border. Nukes assure regime survival. That’s why the Kims have so single-mindedly pursued them. The lessons are clear. Saddam Hussein, no nukes: hanged. Moammar Qaddafi, gave up his nuclear program: killed by his own people. The Kim dynasty, possessing an arsenal of ten to 16 bombs: untouched, soon untouchable. What are our choices? Trump has threatened that if China doesn’t help, we’ll have to go it alone. If so, the choice is binary: acquiescence or war. War is almost unthinkable, given the proximity of the Demilitarized Zone to the 10 million people of Seoul. A mere conventional war would be devastating. And could rapidly go nuclear. Acquiescence is not unthinkable. After all, we did it when China went nuclear under Mao Zedong, whose regime promptly went insane under the Cultural Revolution. The hope for a third alternative, getting China to do the dirty work, is mostly wishful thinking. There’s talk of sanctioning other Chinese banks. Will that really change China’s strategic thinking? Bourgeois democracies believe that economics supersedes geostrategy. Maybe for us. But for dictatorships? Rarely. If we want to decisively alter the strategic balance, we could return U.S. tactical nukes (withdrawn in 1991) to South Korea. Or we could encourage Japan to build a nuclear deterrent of its own. Nothing would get more quick attention from the Chinese. They would face a radically new strategic dilemma: Is preserving North Korea worth a nuclear Japan? We do have powerful alternatives. But each is dangerous and highly unpredictable. Which is why the most likely ultimate outcome, by far, is acquiescence. [/qb][/QUOTE]LOL! Funny reading this because no where in this collection of white-think gibberish is there any mention of a diplomatic solution. Why in the world are they called, Diplomats when they are impotent to utilize diplomacy, and like their Cuban embargo strategy, only capable of using strong-arm thug tactics? And no, Moammar Qaddafi wasn't murdered by his own people any more than Malcolm X or Hugo Chavez were. Using Japan? LOL! In the event of a war between Asia and the West, I'm thinking this time Japan will get it right and very likely side with the Asian side. Else, because of their history and the fact that neither China or Korea has forgotten, they will be decimated first by either China or Korea. Plus, Japan appears to be on the path to a genetic dead-end. Their population growth figures are the lowest in the world, just ahead of Europe. The last option they will embrace is another Asian war, especially a nuclear one. The best option is for North and South Korea to conduct talks about how they both can compromise for a united Korea, but the US and Europe don't want this. [/QB][/QUOTE]
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