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[QUOTE]Originally posted by zarahan- aka Enrique Cardova: [QB] [b]That's not to say that we should expect imminent societal meltdown - we could be on a plateau of overall fossil production that could last another decade or more before we start experiencing supply shocks. I think the overriding message is that we need to get serious about less energy intensive arrangements, what I think writers call 'powering down.' Yes, there is a place for fossil fuel alternatives, but again, I'm doubtful they're going to allow for business as usual. [/b] Could very well be. Supply shocks could come from a variety of causes- war in the Middle East, a Russian boycott of Europe, etc etc. I think we have a decent window of opportunity to manage the supply problem, which would include both increasing production from various areas (the Artic, Antarctica, offshore, Canadian tundra etc), relatively lightly tapped oil sands and such, as well as pursuing efficiencies to use less hydrocarbons. Indeed as one analysis notes, just Saudi oil reserves will last comfortably through this century. And that's the Saudis. There are new areas still to come online, or revamped production of old areas using new technology. Classic fuels like coal, which now for example is China's primary powering fuel, can also be added to the mix, using newer, cleaner tech. http://www.upi.com/Business_News/Security-Industry/2005/05/05/21st-century-world-still-needs-Saudi-oil/16511115336743/ As regards Africa, the hungry predators vacuuming up resources need to be made to work more in Africa's interests. [/QB][/QUOTE]
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